Search Results for “prediction forecast” – Page 11

Do You Believe In Global Warming Because Of The Seriousness Of The Charges?

An activist tells you, "Based on my theory of rampant, out-of-control global warming, otters, driven mad by the heat, will take to the streets and destroy mankind, just like apes…

Statistics

We Know The Climate Is Warming Because It Isn’t

What do you call the mental process which allows a man to say "What's firmly established is that the climate is warming" while also holding that "There's been a burst…

Philosophy Statistics

Explanation Vs Prediction

Introduction There isn't as much space between explanation and prediction as you'd think; both are had from the same elements of the problem at hand. Here's how it all works.…

Fun

Winners Announced In The Rename “Global Warming” Contest!

On 17 July we started the Rename "Global Warming" Contest. This produced 66 entries, which is a record for contests here. Thanks to everybody who participated. I think we've done…

Statistics

Real Climate Temperature “Trend” Article Gets It Wrong (Like So Many Do)

This post is one that has been restored after the hacking. All original comments were lost. Everything that can go wrong with a time series analysis has gone wrong with…

Statistics

On Nate Silver’s Republicans-Take-The-Senate Prediction

Yet the first bringer of unwelcome news Hath but a losing office, and his tongue Sounds ever after as a sullen bell, Remember'd tolling a departing friend. ---Henry IV, part…

Fun

Rename “Global Warming” Contest

Andrew Jackson (â€@yodacomplex) reminded me of the screwy history of the thing that was Global Warming. The phrase has undergone many revisions, examples of which are: Climate Change, Climate Cataclysm,…

Culture Philosophy

The Consensus Fallacy

Here is the word-for-word opening in the Vox "explanatory journalism" tidbit "John Oliver shows how to debate climate deniers": That climate change is occurring, and that humans are the primary…

Lee Phillips on Bipartisan Means The Fix Is InApril 24, 2024
Yawrate: you believe you can read the author’s mind and what he actually means is the exact opposite of what…
Milton Hathaway on Bipartisan Means The Fix Is InApril 24, 2024
I've never been much on conspiracy theories, but holy cow, I've lost count of how many conspiracy theories have become…
JerryR on Class 3: Uncertainty & Probability Theory: The Logic of Science: Belief & FaithApril 23, 2024
"Or is it turtles all the way down" This is an expression commonly used and in actuality is the basis…
JerryR on Class 3: Uncertainty & Probability Theory: The Logic of Science: Belief & FaithApril 23, 2024
“ And what caused the existence of this entity that exists outside of time and space” Nothing. It does not…
Hagfish Bagpipe on Why I Don’t Want To Be Made To Support IsraelApril 23, 2024
Not a bad soap box speech, Johnno, not bad at all. Couple points though we might discuss next time we're…