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William M. Briggs

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Latest Articles
Class 88: The Most Neglected Concept: Skill
April 30, 2026
The Red-Blue Button Dilemma & Its Surprising Answer
April 29, 2026
UFO Reports About To Blast Off!
April 27, 2026
Class 87: Calibration & Conformal Prediction: Examples
April 23, 2026
Noticing Differences Between Races Does Not Pay
April 22, 2026
What Are The Chances Of All These Scientists Dying, Killed, Or Going Missing?
April 20, 2026
Class 86: Calibration & Conformal Prediction: Theory
April 16, 2026
How A Miracle Turns Mundane
April 15, 2026
Contest Winner Announced!
April 14, 2026
Trump’s Last Stand: Mea Culpa, Redux — Guest Post by Ianto Watt
April 13, 2026
Class 85: Proper Scores of Model Goodness
April 9, 2026
Proof!
April 8, 2026
Justice Ketanji Roars
April 7, 2026
Iran Has Caught Covid: A Reason For The War
April 6, 2026
Class 84: Most Important Measure of Model Goodness
April 2, 2026
There Is No Solution To Crashing Fertility: Good Times Made Soft Men
March 31, 2026
Did The Pope Really Say Health Is A “Right”?
March 30, 2026
All Models Only Say What They Are Told To Say, And AI Is A Model
March 26, 2026
It’s The End Of The World Again
March 24, 2026
Belgian Judge Wants To Arrest Little Nate Cofnast Because Cofnast Says Smart People Are Smarter Than Dumb People
March 23, 2026
Class 83: Why Were Paul Ehrlich’s Predictions So Good (and so Bad)?
March 19, 2026
Posted inStatistics

Class 88: The Most Neglected Concept: Skill

Posted by By Briggs April 30, 2026
Continue Reading
Posted inStatistics

The Red-Blue Button Dilemma & Its Surprising Answer

Posted by By Briggs April 29, 2026
Continue Reading
Nature’s Pretend History Of “Racism” In Science
Posted inCulture

Nature’s Pretend History Of “Racism” In Science

There is no "racism", systemic or otherwise, against blacks in science. But you are supposed to say there is, and decry it. Indeed, the less actual racism there is, the…
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The Broken Science Initiative: Two Introductory Videos
Posted inCulture Philosophy

The Broken Science Initiative: Two Introductory Videos

The Broken Science Initiative, to which I have been invited, has at last been launched at a recent get together in California. Greg Glassman introduces the topic. You will recognize…
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Why School Boards Ignore Parents: Or, How The Expertocracy Works
Posted inCulture

Why School Boards Ignore Parents: Or, How The Expertocracy Works

There is still considerable confusion about our present form of government, which is a form of the managerial society predicted by Burnham, and outlined in intricate detail by Sam Francis.…
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Summary Against Modern Thought: On Eating & Procreation After Resurrection
Posted inSAMT

Summary Against Modern Thought: On Eating & Procreation After Resurrection

Previous post. Our good saint believes no eating and no procreating after the resurrection. This is a very long one. THAT AMONG THE RISEN THERE WILL BE NO USE OF…
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Nervous Chemists Demand Science DIE Harder
Posted inCulture

Nervous Chemists Demand Science DIE Harder

You have a pool of, say, 500 professionally trained specialty chemists---which is to say, chemists who specialize in a certain branch of chemistry that has suddenly gained popularity. I'm making…
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CDC Panel Unanimously Recommends Truth Be Damned:  Kids & The Coronadoom Vex
Posted inCulture Statistics

CDC Panel Unanimously Recommends Truth Be Damned: Kids & The Coronadoom Vex

Update Well, they voted the wrong way. I'm also a bit surprised there doesn't seem much interest in this news. How quickly we surrender? Rochelle Walensky, the head of CDC,…
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Moving Away From The Mysticism Of “Random” Numbers
Posted inStatistics

Moving Away From The Mysticism Of “Random” Numbers

ET Jaynes in his must-have Probability Theory: The Logic of Science said, "It appears to be a quite general principle that, whenever there is a randomized way of doing something,…
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All Those Warnings About Models Are True: Researchers Given Same Data Come To Huge Number Of Conflicting Findings
Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

All Those Warnings About Models Are True: Researchers Given Same Data Come To Huge Number Of Conflicting Findings

Seventy-some researcher groups were given identical data, and asked to investigate an identical question. The groups did not communicate. Details are in the paper "Observing Many Researchers Using the Same…
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  1. John Pate on The Red-Blue Button Dilemma & Its Surprising AnswerApril 30, 2026

    I would press the red button because it's the red button. The bigger the red button the harder you hit…

  2. Polybius II on The Red-Blue Button Dilemma & Its Surprising AnswerApril 29, 2026

    "their Other Lives’ Value premise is something vague about man, but not men" I am reminded of a british comedian…

  3. Johnno on The Red-Blue Button Dilemma & Its Surprising AnswerApril 29, 2026

    But do we get time to explain to everyone and have them all sit down and have a discussion before…

  4. gareth on Class 87: Calibration & Conformal Prediction: ExamplesApril 29, 2026

    Timestamp 21:35: A "correction" from 0.8 to 1.0 is a "correction factor" of 1.25, not 0.2 (akshully wot you mean…

  5. Cato on The Red-Blue Button Dilemma & Its Surprising AnswerApril 29, 2026

    There’s no point to a world without me; of course I press Red.

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