# Search results for ‘predictive statistics’

## Observable-Based , Predictive, or Causal Statistics? Don’t Test! Don’t Estimate!

The term predictive statistics is used to describe a focus on observables, and not on any invisible model-based parameters as is found in estimation and null hypothesis significance testing. It isn’t sticking, […]

## How To Do Predictive Statistics: Part X: Survival Analysis

Query: now that I’m a video master, would people like videos of these lessons? I don’t see how they’d help much, but who knows. Let me know below or via email. Next […]

## How To Do Predictive Statistics: Part IX Stan — Logistic & Beta Regression

Review! We’re doing logistic and beta regression this time. These aren’t far apart, because the observable for both lives between 0 and 1; for logistic it is 0 or 1; for beta, […]

## How To Do Predictive Statistics: Part VIII — Starting Stan

Review! You must at least review the first lessons—all class material is on one page for ease. I’ll have more words about the mysticism of simulation, but I’ve said it all before […]

## The Predictive Way Is The Only Way In Statistics: Sick Cow Edition

What is the purpose of modeling? There can be only two. The first is to say what happened, to explain. But in order to do this one must first assume what one […]

## How To Do Predictive Statistics: Part I New (Free) Software Introduction

Introduction Here’s what we always want, but never get, using the old ways of doing statistics: The probability that some proposition Y is true given certain assumptions. Like this:      (1) Pr(Y […]