Update I see that I failed below to demonstrate the ubiquity of the problem. So your homework is to search … Continue Reading Signal + Noise vs. Signal — Important Update
Today’s post is at the Stream: xkcd’s Global Warming Time Series Mistakes. The popular web cartoon xkcd has provided a … Continue Reading Stream: xkcd’s Global Warming Time Series Mistakes
The graph above (biggified version here) was touted by Simon Kuestenmacher (who posts many beautiful maps). He said “This plot … Continue Reading Lovely Example of Statistics Gone Bad
This post originally appeared right before the Uncertainty did. Now that we’re 1.5 years out, it’s time for a re-post. … Continue Reading Uncertainty: The Soul of Models, Probability & Statistics. Chapter Abstracts
As predicted, there were cigars. But I missed them. The smoking party left without me while I listed to Ireland’s … Continue Reading Heartland Climate Conference: Day 1. Everybody Gets Time Series Wrong
Review! We’re doing logistic and beta regression this time. These aren’t far apart, because the observable for both lives between … Continue Reading How To Do Predictive Statistics: Part IX Stan — Logistic & Beta Regression
No, data do not have means. Nor do they have variances, autocorrelations, partial or otherwise, nor moments; nor do they … Continue Reading Data Do Not Have Means: Or, The Deadly Sin of Reification Strikes Again!
Trump just said his unfavs have gone down. False. https://t.co/Bf9tXpIDeY pic.twitter.com/FHROorfq8w — Rick Wilson (@TheRickWilson) April 27, 2016 If you … Continue Reading The Deadly Sin Of Reification Strikes Again!