Posted inStatistics
Making Up Data To Prove Models?
There is this idea in statistics called the "bootstrap." The idea is not crazy, but it's not quite right either. Works like this: data comes in, and usually some parameterized…
Posted inStatistics
How An AI-Machine Learning-Physics-Sociological-Whatever Model Can Be Good For One Man & Bad For Another
A model---which I do not distinguish between a theory---can be useful to one man and useless to the next. "But Briggs, people don't treat theories the same as models." Right:…
Posted inStatistics
Leighton Smith Podcast: Everything You Believe Is Wrong
Leighton Smith of New Zealand kindly had me on his podcast Wednesday. We discussed, among other matters, my book Everything You Believe Is Wrong. You know, the one my enemies…
Posted inStatistics
Prominent Academic Asks: When And How Did Statistics Lose Its Way?
The question is not mine. It belongs to Philip Stark, who asked it of Deborah Mayo at a Berkeley lecture. Stark plainly asked five good questions: When and how did…
Posted inStatistics
Class 35: The Grand Scheme: All Of Probability & Uncertainty In 30 Minutes
Here my friends is the whole of probability and uncertainty, in highlight form. A quick overview of where we have been, what we're doing, and where we're going. All can…
Posted inStatistics
MRI Claims 92% Accuracy Predicting Sexual “Orientation”. My Schmengee Mediscan 3000™ Beats It
The news, considered marvelous to some because it seems to confirm how good MRIs are at uncovering secrets of the brain, is that MRIs can predict "sexual orientation" with 92%…
Posted inStatistics
Can You Get A Singularity When AI = Automated Instructions?
So they fired and rehired or whatever the guy from OpenAI for obscure reasons. OpenAI did ChatGPT, the text simulator which will tell nasty jokes about white men but which…
Posted inCulture
The Regime’s Compulsion To Scientific Lunacy Explained (Partly)
We met our favorite headline the other day: Climate Change Destroys World, Pregnant People Hardest Hit. A version of that headline rolls off the science press about weekly, now. They…
