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Class 81: The Second Biggest Error In Time Series
Posted inStatistics

Class 81: The Second Biggest Error In Time Series

Reminder: The Thursday Class is only for those interested in studying uncertainty. I don’t expect all want to read these posts. So please don’t feel like you must. Yet, I…
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The Paper Test Shows Why AGI Is Not Possible: And Why The Brain Is Different In Kind
Posted inStatistics

The Paper Test Shows Why AGI Is Not Possible: And Why The Brain Is Different In Kind

We previously, and briefly, discussed The Paper Test (see the articles on limitations at bottom here), which is an argument that computers, including those laden with AI, are not alive,…
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Researcher Imagines Weather With No Human Influence: Concludes Climate Change Hurts Incomes
Posted inStatistics

Researcher Imagines Weather With No Human Influence: Concludes Climate Change Hurts Incomes

If I had to pick one paper to represent why the Class is so important, about why so much which passes for science is unworthy, it might be the peer-reviewed…
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Faith Deposited: Why Godless Science Fails
Posted inStatistics

Faith Deposited: Why Godless Science Fails

I sat down with Wilbur Salazar, who runs the brand new Faith Deposited site and YouTube channel, and had a chat about the philosophy of science and religion. Well, I…
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Class 80: Granger Causality; Per Se & Accidental Time Series; Stationarity
Posted inStatistics

Class 80: Granger Causality; Per Se & Accidental Time Series; Stationarity

Reminder: The Thursday Class is only for those interested in studying uncertainty. I don’t expect all want to read these posts. So please don’t feel like you must. Yet, I…
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Scientists Seeking To Escape Criticism Run To The Warmth & Comfort Of Bluesky
Posted inStatistics

Scientists Seeking To Escape Criticism Run To The Warmth & Comfort Of Bluesky

Ressentiment and hurt feelings over lose of prestige has hit many academic scientists hard. The ebbing away of respect and deference was not something they prepared for. They were taught,…
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The Loss of Ephemera — Guest Post by The Blonde Bombshell
Posted inStatistics

The Loss of Ephemera — Guest Post by The Blonde Bombshell

My son had the opportunity to go skiing at a hotspot out west. One of the first things he was asked was if he had a ski lift pass looped…
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Class 79: Time Series Example
Posted inStatistics

Class 79: Time Series Example

Reminder: The Thursday Class is only for those interested in studying uncertainty. I don’t expect all want to read these posts. So please don’t feel like you must. Yet, I…
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  1. NLR on The Paper Test Shows Why AGI Is Not Possible: And Why The Brain Is Different In KindMarch 5, 2026

    I agree with the paper test; like the Chinese room argument, it is a way to illustrate that a mechanical…

  2. Briggs on The Paper Test Shows Why AGI Is Not Possible: And Why The Brain Is Different In KindMarch 5, 2026

    Eric, Darn similar, and (I hope) simplified.

  3. Eric Brown on The Paper Test Shows Why AGI Is Not Possible: And Why The Brain Is Different In KindMarch 4, 2026

    Isn’t this Searle’s Chinese Room argument? Not that I disagree with either of you…

  4. Rhetocrates on The Paper Test Shows Why AGI Is Not Possible: And Why The Brain Is Different In KindMarch 4, 2026

    I disagree with the conclusion of the test. There is no need for panic or concern over the possibility of…

  5. C-Marie on The Paper Test Shows Why AGI Is Not Possible: And Why The Brain Is Different In KindMarch 4, 2026

    God is!!! Well done, Matt!! Loved this! Great explanations .... even understood much of it at 82 years!!! Am sending…

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