William M. Briggs

Statistician to the Stars!

He Did What?

An example of just the kind of picture which misleads.

Coming Soon!

I’ve started a series called “What This-or-That Technique Really Is”. First up is regression. It would have shown today, but—can you guess?—it isn’t finished. I made the mistake of also starting “What Decision Analysis Really Is”. And time series, too. Plus a couple of other things.

I need these for another, more long-term purpose, but also because every time I pick apart some paper I don’t want to also have to re-explain what each technique is; that is, what it should be and how people mistakenly used it. It will be nice to have a source to link to.

The math is limited in these, as it is in all blog posts. Philosophy and understanding is emphasized. This is a result of a decision I made years ago. There isn’t anything wrong with math, of course, but as soon as you start putting down equations the concepts too easily become the equations. Reification creeps up unless you’re extraordinarily careful, which most of us are not. Plus, there are a million sites detailing the mathematics of probability and statistics. One more wouldn’t have helped. The big disadvantage is math is vastly easier to write. Words take time.

An Instant Classic

The Classic Post page is revamped. It was a tangle before, but now it is only a mess. I’m not satisfied with the css, which is quirky, but then I don’t have the time to search (again) for another site theme.

What do you think?

It’s still about a year or two behind, meaning I haven’t updated the content, which I’ll begin to do this week. I hope it’s useful to you. Helps me, too, to gather all like subjects together.

More On The Duck Dynasty

David Theroux of The Independent Institute sent along a couple of articles on Duck Dynasty and the Secular Theocracy. Part I, Part II.

This comes on the heels of another TV guy (I’ve never heard of) pulling a Phil. Juan Pablo Galavis (a big name?) said people who engage in same-sex activities are “They’re more pervert in a sense.” Will he back down or hold fast?

Articles were rushed to assure nervous elites that all was well. The one linked to above felt it had to end with the quotation, “Study after study shows that young people raised by gay parents are as happy and healthy as other young people.” This is false. In fact, the opposite is true. Just look up Mark Regnerus and see why.

Hire Me

If you’ve been too confident of late, hire me to tell you why you shouldn’t be. Corporate demotivational lectures are my specialty. Expensive rates. Ask about my two for two special. See my Contact Page today.

No, really: do it today before you forget. Thinking that you’ll remember to do it is one of the things that make you more confident than you should be.

Guest Post

Have something to say too big for the comments? How about a 400-800 word guest post?

3 Comments

  1. Paddy O'Furniture

    January 19, 2014 at 11:19 am

    Yes, writing words is difficult…

    “Thinking that you’ll remember to do it is one of the things that make you more confidence than you should be.”

  2. Briggs

    January 19, 2014 at 11:37 am

    Paddy,

    Arrgh!

  3. La Longue Carabine

    January 19, 2014 at 3:03 pm

    A little on writing by both an author and a writer:
    http://www.jerrypournelle.com/slowchange/myjob.html

    I am astounded at Mr. Briggs ability to produces, daily, such informative and entertaining stuff. Thanks!

    LLC.

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