A standard epidemiological study goes like this: people who have been “exposed” to some thing, say, cell phone radiation, are examined to discover whether or not they have some malady. Some will, […]
Epidemiology, Causality, And P-Values: Part II
Be sure to read yesterday’s post first. One of the screwy consequences of classical statistics is that my odd sample (mixing babies and the patients from the brain cancer ward) is perfectly […]
Bem, ESP, And Hypothesis Testing
Daryl Bem, Cornell professor of psychology, once again believes he has proven the validity of ESP (extra-sensory perception). Bem is a long-time researcher of the paranormal who once found notoriety by gluing […]
Model Selection and the Difficulty of Falsifying Probability Models: Part I
These next posts are in the way of being notes to myself. Logic is the study of the relation between statements. For example, if “All green men are irascible, and Bob is […]
Works Of High Seriousness: Grand Strategies: Literature, Statecraft, and World Order by Charles Hill
Grand Strategies: Literature, Statecraft, and World Order by Charles Hill What a stimulating journey through the greatest works of literature, interpreted with a mind towards statecraft. Hill wants us to change—that is, […]
Belief In God “Rooted” In Human Nature Say Academics
New research has shown—and by “research” I mean a fact long known to citizens is revealed to academics who attach a p-value to it and publish it—“that suggests that religion is a […]
Statistics Galore! Ithaca Teaching Journal, Day 0
Two Weeks Beginning tomorrow, and lasting a semisolid two weeks, will be my class at Cornell. A Masters “How To” in statistics, directed towards MBA-like personages. An impossible task. No subject of […]
Replication In Science
Have doubts about the latest finding from researchers? Confused that last week red wine “increased the risk of heart disease” but this week red wine “decreased the risk of heart disease.” Concerned […]
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