William M. Briggs

House Of Representatives Suspends Constitution For Its Favorite Victim Group – TWID

A seemingly busy Week In Doom these past seven days. But it was mostly for show, I think, as we'll see. Good News First! Item: Joe Biden has finally found…

Statistics

Professor’s Long-Accurate Presidential Election Model Picks Biden. How Do We Judge This Model?

How impressive does this headline sound: "Forecaster who's predicted every presidential winner correctly for 40 YEARS reveals who he thinks will win 2024 election"? We'll use this to look at…

Philosophy

Woke Call Speaking Undesirable Truths Epistemic Violence

Silence, they say---and they do say this---is violence. So is speaking violence. At least when the words spoken express disagreement with woke local truths, which is to say, with woke…

Statistics

The Man In Charge Of The Vatican Says You’re A Fool If You Don’t Believe Athletes Will Run 0.006 Seconds Faster Per Degree Temperature Increase

In my long studied career of insolence and rough defense of Reality, not to mention my general constitutive abrasiveness---I was "born that way"---I have been called every variety of choice…

Class

Class 4: Uncertainty & Probability Theory: The Logic of Science: The Return of Logic

Link to all Classes. Video Links: YouTube Twitter Rumble This week I really could have benefited from seeing people's reactions. Ah, well. HOMEWORK It is true that "If p then…

Statistics

Student Protests To End After Finals: TWID

I changed the title to put TWID = The Week In Doom at the end. I did this long ago, too, and found it answered. Hilarity Ensues Students, by definition,…

Fun

Look Here, @elonmusk, What Mendacious Hack Or Incompetent Flack Murdered This Tweet?

For amusement, my friends, and strictly to have a bit of fun, if you have a Twitter ("X") account, please use the link below to tweet this post, so that…

Culture

Women Celebrate As Their Chance To Become A Victim On Campus Just Skyrocketed

Women---not all but a good number of women, that is---hunger to be Victims. This allows them both status, for ours is increasingly a culture that holds Victims in the highest…

Brian (bulaoren) on Don’t Take The ‘Long-Covid’ Alzheimer’s Study SeriouslyFebruary 18, 2026
I'm still wondering if that Tucson AZ. sheriff checked the glove for long covid.
Tars Tarkas on The Importance Of Not Making DecisionsFebruary 18, 2026
People hold more than one kind of belief (more than the two I am mentioning). There are beliefs that are…
NLR on The Importance Of Not Making DecisionsFebruary 18, 2026
"You do not have to believe. You can stay at uncertainty" That is a good point. With regards to the…
Neil Jordan on Don’t Take The ‘Long-Covid’ Alzheimer’s Study SeriouslyFebruary 17, 2026
Thank you for the vivid disembowelment of the confidence intervals, which reminds me of my linear estimation statistics class of…
Cloudbuster on AI Is Driving Many Crazy: Our Latest PanicFebruary 17, 2026
When you think of the AI revolution, should it happen, think of "Privatize the profits, socialize the costs." The profits…

William M. Briggs

The Importance Of Not Making Decisions

Don’t Take The ‘Long-Covid’ Alzheimer’s Study Seriously

AI Is Driving Many Crazy: Our Latest Panic

Class 78: The Attempt To Turn Correlation Lead Into Causation Gold In Time Series

Desperate Need For Equality: AP Exam Performance

Some Sanity: Experts Sued For Creating Gender Delusions

Why The Recent Claims Of AGI Fail: Plus, A New Test For AGI

Polar Bears Are Doing Fine: Activists, Not So Well

Impossible LSAT Statistics Question

How Women’s Equality In Democracies Changes Voting (And Everything Else)

Class 77: Trendy Trends In Time Series

Who Still Listens To AM Radio?

Scientists Invent New Name For Models: Digital Twins

What Science Says About Making Medication Mandatory

What A Winter

FDA Goes Bayes: It Should Have Gone Probability

Class 76: That’s Not Noise. That’s Signal!

AI: The Earth Is Spinning Faster & Slower (Because “Climate Change”)

Confirmation Bias In The Minneapolis Shooting

Sports Betting Is An Excellent Way To Lose Money

Class 75: A Gentle Introduction To Time Series

The Importance Of Not Making Decisions

Don’t Take The ‘Long-Covid’ Alzheimer’s Study Seriously

House Of Representatives Suspends Constitution For Its Favorite Victim Group – TWID

Professor’s Long-Accurate Presidential Election Model Picks Biden. How Do We Judge This Model?

Woke Call Speaking Undesirable Truths Epistemic Violence

The Man In Charge Of The Vatican Says You’re A Fool If You Don’t Believe Athletes Will Run 0.006 Seconds Faster Per Degree Temperature Increase

Class 4: Uncertainty & Probability Theory: The Logic of Science: The Return of Logic

Student Protests To End After Finals: TWID

Look Here, @elonmusk, What Mendacious Hack Or Incompetent Flack Murdered This Tweet?

Women Celebrate As Their Chance To Become A Victim On Campus Just Skyrocketed

There Is No Culture Without Inequality: Stove 1

Impose Your Beliefs Before They Impose Theirs

Telekinesis: Ideas In Our Reenchantment & Rectification

The Physics Of Blessings: Ideas In Our Reenchantment & Rectification