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William M. Briggs

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Latest Articles
Class 86: Calibration & Conformal Prediction: Theory
April 16, 2026
How A Miracle Turns Mundane
April 15, 2026
Contest Winner Announced!
April 14, 2026
Trump’s Last Stand: Mea Culpa, Redux — Guest Post by Ianto Watt
April 13, 2026
Class 85: Proper Scores of Model Goodness
April 9, 2026
Proof!
April 8, 2026
Justice Ketanji Roars
April 7, 2026
Iran Has Caught Covid: A Reason For The War
April 6, 2026
Class 84: Most Important Measure of Model Goodness
April 2, 2026
There Is No Solution To Crashing Fertility: Good Times Made Soft Men
March 31, 2026
Did The Pope Really Say Health Is A “Right”?
March 30, 2026
All Models Only Say What They Are Told To Say, And AI Is A Model
March 26, 2026
It’s The End Of The World Again
March 24, 2026
Belgian Judge Wants To Arrest Little Nate Cofnast Because Cofnast Says Smart People Are Smarter Than Dumb People
March 23, 2026
Class 83: Why Were Paul Ehrlich’s Predictions So Good (and so Bad)?
March 19, 2026
The Great Effeminization of the Academy
March 18, 2026
The Only Metric That Matters: Or, Pinker’s Folly
March 17, 2026
Lancet Discovers Public Health Is Politics
March 16, 2026
Class 82: Be More Uncertain (About Models)
March 12, 2026
On Not Reading
March 11, 2026
The Great Smoothing: Another Reason Not To Fear (or trust) AI
March 10, 2026
Posted inStatistics

Class 86: Calibration & Conformal Prediction: Theory

Posted by By Briggs April 16, 2026
Continue Reading
Posted inStatistics

How A Miracle Turns Mundane

Posted by By Briggs April 15, 2026
Continue Reading
Posted inCulture Statistics

The Pope Is Wrong About Global Warming

God bless Pope Francis. But he is wrong about global warming, and even wronger about "special interests" trying to keep global warming going. The Holy Father knows a lot more…
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Posted inStatistics

Stream: There’s Big Money in Global Warming Alarmism

Cop21 is upon us. Dread it. The Pope yesterday spoke of the corrupting influence of "special interest" groups. Amen to that. Although these groups aren't who the Pope thinks they…
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Posted inFun

Best Equivocation Joke: Open Thread

It being a slow traffic week and me being on the road and swamped---COP21 is coming up next week, working on a new book, news of the old one is…
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Posted inCulture Philosophy

Ridley Claims Materialists, Atheists, & Secular Humanists Don’t Preach

Matt Ridley has a curious piece in The Times (no, the better one), "Why Muslims are turning away from Islam". (Incidentally, Ridley and I both have chapters in the new…
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Posted inCulture Philosophy

The Crybaby Fallacy (Which Atheists Often Use)

Many atheists are notorious for arguing from desire. (Be ever careful of the So's-Yer-Old-Man Fallacy.) God doesn't exist, they say or imply, because He's a big meanie, because His demands…
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Posted inPhilosophy SAMT

Summary Against Modern Thought: God Cannot Will Evil

See the first post in this series for an explanation and guide of our tour of Summa Contra Gentiles. All posts are under the category SAMT. Previous post. Two important…
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Posted inCulture

This Week In Doom: Meat Eating & The Sins Of Sexual Normalcy

Too many people eating too much meat? The Stream has the most hilarious, but eminently practical, article "There Aren't as Many People as a Lot of Environmentalists Think: Some Elementary…
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Posted inStatistics

Keenan’s $100-Grand Climate Challenge & Randomness

Lots of people are asking me about Douglas Keenan's challenge to identify which time series meets a certain criterion. If our betters are as good as they say at identifying…
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  1. Alain Petit on Antichrist, by Saint Robert Bellarmine, ReviewedApril 16, 2026

    https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=CNbmoVdirxw&pp=0gcJCdMKAYcqIYzv

  2. Klara Castagna on Trump’s Last Stand: Mea Culpa, Redux — Guest Post by Ianto WattApril 16, 2026

    Ianto, I luv ya man, I bought and read your book ‘The Barbarian Bible’ - everyone should buy it and…

  3. MikeW on How A Miracle Turns MundaneApril 16, 2026

    There are many ways to reconcile alleged contradictions in the Bible, including the staff issue (which is not a particularly…

  4. C-Marie on How A Miracle Turns MundaneApril 15, 2026

    "Memories flag, you see,....." , BUT the Holy Spirit does not flag at all , and He It was Who…

  5. Brian (bulaoren) on How A Miracle Turns MundaneApril 15, 2026

    Should these (percieved) inconsistencies negate the whole body of teaching? I once knew a couple who were profoundly opposed to…

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