June 20, 2011 | 19 Comments
There are a subset of professional statisticians—defined as folks who have had formal training in the field given to them by other professionals—who feel that the field of statistics is useless. That if you have to prove anything using statistics, … Continue Reading Statistical Significance Does Not Mean What You Think. Climate Temperature Trends. Ithaca Teaching Journal, Day 7
March 6, 2011 | 19 Comments
Update This post is mandatory reading for those discussing global average temperature. I mean it: exceedingly brief and given only with respect to a univariate time series, such as operationally define global average temperature (GAT). Let him that readeth understand. … Continue Reading Global Average Temperature: An Exceedingly Brief Introduction To Bayesian Predictive Inference
March 5, 2011 | 38 Comments
Update See also: Global Average Temperature: An Exceedingly Brief Introduction To Bayesian Predictive Inference Word is going round that Richard Muller is leading a group of physicists, statisticians, and climatologists to re-estimate the yearly global average temperature, from which we … Continue Reading Global Average Temperature: What It Isn’t
February 1, 2011 | 33 Comments
I don’t know the answer to this question: I am not an expert in this area, and I haven’t the time or resources to track down the data to discover the answer. I even wonder if there exists controlled experimental … Continue Reading Are Tree Rings Low Pass Temperature Filters?