Editor’s note: since I am sick unto death of the weak anemic emaciated runtish political science of climatology, I refuse … Continue Reading Reality-Based Climate Forecasting — Guest Post by Paul Driessen
This was an interesting year because we had a general dichotmous proposition of interest to many; or rather, two. Who would win the (Republican) primary and who would win the Presidency? Click here for the predictions. Here is a list … Continue Reading How’d We Do On Our 2016 Predictions?
How’d we do? Not so hot. We missed big events; but then, 2017 was a screwy year with our continued … Continue Reading How’d We Do On Our 2017 Predictions?
Read Part I Part II What we’re after is a score that calculates how close a prediction is to its … Continue Reading How Good Is That Model? Scoring Rules For Forecasts: Part II: Update