Pajamas Media—my new pals–conducted, or rather commissioned, their own poll in the Scott Brown-Martha Coakley race. It found, after calling more, but reporting on 946 “likely” voters, Brown ahead by 15.4%, a whopping lead. Other organizations had Brown up by … Continue Reading Random Samples In Polls Not Needed; Other Common Poll Errors
Last week we looked at how the polls did in Iowa. How badly did the polls in the New Hampshire race do in yesterday’s Democrat primary? Here are the results: Candidate Zogby WMUR Actual Error Obama 42 39 37 +5 … Continue Reading Now only 32.8% of people believe the polls: Did New Hampshire let us down?
Item German government wants ‘backdoor’ access to every digital device: report Germany’s Interior Minister wants to force tech and car … Continue Reading Insanity & Doom Update XVIII
Hard link to the video. This post ran originally on 28 February 2015. Given the quiet weekend, I postponed our Summa Contra Gentiles until next week. It is a delight to change the subject from the dismal used-to-be science of … Continue Reading Video: How To Think About Statistics, Figures, And New Ideas