August 28, 2017 | 9 CommentsYe Olde Statistician points us to an essay (a book chapter?) by our old pal Nassim Nicholas Taleb called “The … Continue Reading Taleb’s Curious Views On Probability — Part I: Probability Does Not Exist

March 14, 2018 | 16 CommentsThis post originally appeared right before the Uncertainty did. Now that we’re 1.5 years out, it’s time for a re-post. … Continue Reading Uncertainty: The Soul of Models, Probability & Statistics. Chapter Abstracts

November 22, 2017 | 2 CommentsFrom the mailbag, reader I.W. writes: Dear Professor, I represent social science (but of a priori bent), and I recently … Continue Reading Predictive Probability Resources, Why Frequentism Fails & Uncertainty

January 19, 2017 | 14 CommentsOne of the arguments is that probability does not extend predicate logic, but does extend propositional logic. The concern is … Continue Reading Formal Logic And Probability