The answer to the post title’s question is: I’m not so sure. Because why? Because the predictions everybody registered were … Continue Reading How’d We Do On Our 2015 Predictions?
In the late spring of 1988, Senator Tim Wirth from Colorado (guess his party) called the Weather Bureau and asked … Continue Reading Global Warming: Thirty Years Of Hype, Hysteria & Hullabaloo
If Trump wins, his effect on the accelerating downward slide of our culture will be as a speed bump, perhaps … Continue Reading Trump As Speed Bump (And Debate Notes)
Quoting from a post on vampires, “In Bayesian inference, you start with some initial beliefs (called ‘Bayesian priors’ or just … Continue Reading The Bayesian Metaphor Can Do More Harm Than Good: Update