Back to our Edge series. Sean Carroll says Bayes’s Theorem should be better known. He outlines the theorem in the familiar updating-prior-belief formula. But, as this modified classic article shows, this is not the most important facet of Bayesian theory. … Continue Reading Bayesian Statistics Isn’t What You Think
Note An earlier version of this post was accidentally sent out in unedited form. My enemies caused me to hit … Continue Reading Is Presuming Innocence A Bayesian Prior?
For most, Mencius Moldbug will need no introduction; for those who do not know him, this review of his work … Continue Reading Against Moldbug’s Reservationist Epistemology: Reason Alone Is Not Reasonable
Class & code links are at the bottom. This is the permanent page for Uncertainty: The Soul of Modeling, Probability … Continue Reading Books & Free Class