Several readers asked me to look at Ross McKitrick’s paper “HAC-Robust Measurement of the Duration of a Trendless Subsample in … Continue Reading The IPCC’s And McKitrick’s “Hiatus” Time Series Models
Trump just said his unfavs have gone down. False. https://t.co/Bf9tXpIDeY pic.twitter.com/FHROorfq8w — Rick Wilson (@TheRickWilson) April 27, 2016 If you … Continue Reading The Deadly Sin Of Reification Strikes Again!
Today, a lovely illustration of all the errors in handling time series we have been discussing for years. I’m sure … Continue Reading Netherlands Temperature Controversy: Or, Yet Again, How Not To Do Time Series
This post originally appeared right before the Uncertainty did. Now that we’re 1.5 years out, it’s time for a re-post. … Continue Reading Uncertainty: The Soul of Models, Probability & Statistics. Chapter Abstracts