From The Hill: House and Senate leaders have formally agreed to bypass a bicameral conference committee to merge two healthcare bills, and have opted to instead “ping-pong” the Senate bill over to […]
Random Samples In Polls Not Needed; Other Common Poll Errors
Pajamas Media—my new pals–conducted, or rather commissioned, their own poll in the Scott Brown-Martha Coakley race. It found, after calling more, but reporting on 946 “likely” voters, Brown ahead by 15.4%, a […]
How To Use A Poll To Predict Election Winners
The Scott Brown, Martha Coakley race is over. The results are not surprising nor undesirable. This is because anybody who dares call another—close your eyes if you cannot stand foul language—a Yankee […]
On the Morality of Global Warming Criticism
Paul Krugman, a columnist for the New York Times and winner of a prestigious banking prize (usually mistakenly called a “Nobel”), has said that those who criticize theories of global warming are […]
73.2% of Likely Voters Believe Poll Results
Pollster: Who will you vote for? Civilian: Oh, I don’t know; that guy, the tall one. Pollster: I’ll put you down for Obama. The elections in Iowa are over and the results […]
How much does winning Iowa and New Hampshire help?
On the earlier poll thread, a reader asked “What’s your opinion about the statistical summary of past results of Iowa caucuses and New Hampshire primaries?” pointing out data from Neatorama.com. The Neatorama […]
Now only 32.8% of people believe the polls: Did New Hampshire let us down?
Last week we looked at how the polls did in Iowa. How badly did the polls in the New Hampshire race do in yesterday’s Democrat primary? Here are the results: Candidate Zogby […]
Homework #1: Answer part I
A couple of days ago I gave out homework. I asked my loyal readers to count how many people walked by them and to keep track of how many of those people […]
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