Class 56: The Best Model!

Class 56: The Best Model!

The best model is no model! Display your data instead. We bring cause to models, we do not extract cause from models. Models do not say what happened: what happened…
On The Probability Of God

On The Probability Of God

Every so often people return to the "probability of God." Here are three men doing that. They worry about "priors" and "posteriors" and all the heavy apparatus of probability theory…
Class 55: Models Vs Reality

Class 55: Models Vs Reality

This week starts Part II of the Class: scientific modeling, in all its glories and, alas, failures. Science is model happy, and judges too often the goodess of models by…