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	<title>Comments on: Zombies no joke: global warming can cause anything</title>
	<link>http://wmbriggs.com/blog/2008/02/01/zombies-no-joke-global-warming-can-cause-anything/</link>
	<description>"All manner of statistical analyses cheerfully undertaken."</description>
	<pubDate>Fri, 21 Nov 2008 10:48:00 +0000</pubDate>
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		<title>By: kevin</title>
		<link>http://wmbriggs.com/blog/2008/02/01/zombies-no-joke-global-warming-can-cause-anything/#comment-7676</link>
		<dc:creator>kevin</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 20 Aug 2008 00:37:26 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid>http://wmbriggs.com/blog/2008/02/01/zombies-no-joke-global-warming-can-cause-anything/#comment-7676</guid>
		<description>A complete list of things caused by global warming
http://www.numberwatch.co.uk/warmlist.htm</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>A complete list of things caused by global warming<br />
<a href="http://www.numberwatch.co.uk/warmlist.htm" rel="nofollow">http://www.numberwatch.co.uk/warmlist.htm</a></p>
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		<title>By: Craig Loehle</title>
		<link>http://wmbriggs.com/blog/2008/02/01/zombies-no-joke-global-warming-can-cause-anything/#comment-322</link>
		<dc:creator>Craig Loehle</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 04 Feb 2008 16:28:43 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid>http://wmbriggs.com/blog/2008/02/01/zombies-no-joke-global-warming-can-cause-anything/#comment-322</guid>
		<description>In my field, ecology, many studies are done taking a 100 yr climate forecast and projecting ecosystem change as a result.  Many many assumptions go into the analysis.  The result is really a hypothesis, not a "result" and it will not be proven true or false until the author is long dead.  Pretty good for getting tenure IMO, but not such good science.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>In my field, ecology, many studies are done taking a 100 yr climate forecast and projecting ecosystem change as a result.  Many many assumptions go into the analysis.  The result is really a hypothesis, not a &#8220;result&#8221; and it will not be proven true or false until the author is long dead.  Pretty good for getting tenure IMO, but not such good science.</p>
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		<title>By: John Cook</title>
		<link>http://wmbriggs.com/blog/2008/02/01/zombies-no-joke-global-warming-can-cause-anything/#comment-311</link>
		<dc:creator>John Cook</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 03 Feb 2008 22:55:32 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid>http://wmbriggs.com/blog/2008/02/01/zombies-no-joke-global-warming-can-cause-anything/#comment-311</guid>
		<description>Interesting post, particularly the comment on the percentages to so many decimal places. To be honest, I find the knee jerk reaction to attribute anything bad to global warming a bit annoying and I've tried to only include the more substantial, creditable items in the negative side - preferably with links to peer reviewed studies.

For items in the positive side, I've struggled to find many and believe me, I read many skeptical articles on global warming. Hence I've included a few of the more facetious ones mainly for humour (but also to pad out the positive side a little).</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Interesting post, particularly the comment on the percentages to so many decimal places. To be honest, I find the knee jerk reaction to attribute anything bad to global warming a bit annoying and I&#8217;ve tried to only include the more substantial, creditable items in the negative side - preferably with links to peer reviewed studies.</p>
<p>For items in the positive side, I&#8217;ve struggled to find many and believe me, I read many skeptical articles on global warming. Hence I&#8217;ve included a few of the more facetious ones mainly for humour (but also to pad out the positive side a little).</p>
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		<title>By: David Ross</title>
		<link>http://wmbriggs.com/blog/2008/02/01/zombies-no-joke-global-warming-can-cause-anything/#comment-308</link>
		<dc:creator>David Ross</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 03 Feb 2008 16:21:46 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid>http://wmbriggs.com/blog/2008/02/01/zombies-no-joke-global-warming-can-cause-anything/#comment-308</guid>
		<description>This form of research was pioneered by Blaise Pascal. Call it "proof by hellfire".

If you can't prove that your thesis is true, then try to prove that failure to act as if it were true will result in x horrors lasting time t. (Begin with x = your skeptic's death and t = time of death. Increment x and increment t when challenged. Repeat.) People have an internal function f(x,t) </description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>This form of research was pioneered by Blaise Pascal. Call it &#8220;proof by hellfire&#8221;.</p>
<p>If you can&#8217;t prove that your thesis is true, then try to prove that failure to act as if it were true will result in x horrors lasting time t. (Begin with x = your skeptic&#8217;s death and t = time of death. Increment x and increment t when challenged. Repeat.) People have an internal function f(x,t)</p>
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		<title>By: the debator</title>
		<link>http://wmbriggs.com/blog/2008/02/01/zombies-no-joke-global-warming-can-cause-anything/#comment-304</link>
		<dc:creator>the debator</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 03 Feb 2008 00:31:51 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid>http://wmbriggs.com/blog/2008/02/01/zombies-no-joke-global-warming-can-cause-anything/#comment-304</guid>
		<description>have a look at my findings on a PNG village being relocated due to Global Warming caused rising sea levels. 

But it is really because they are building a port where the vilage is!
http://www.creditablecarbon.com/forum/viewtopic.php?t=30</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>have a look at my findings on a PNG village being relocated due to Global Warming caused rising sea levels. </p>
<p>But it is really because they are building a port where the vilage is!<br />
<a href="http://www.creditablecarbon.com/forum/viewtopic.php?t=30" rel="nofollow">http://www.creditablecarbon.com/forum/viewtopic.php?t=30</a></p>
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		<title>By: William M. Briggs, Statistician &#187; Zombie attacks might increase due to global warming, study shows</title>
		<link>http://wmbriggs.com/blog/2008/02/01/zombies-no-joke-global-warming-can-cause-anything/#comment-301</link>
		<dc:creator>William M. Briggs, Statistician &#187; Zombie attacks might increase due to global warming, study shows</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 02 Feb 2008 22:29:33 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid>http://wmbriggs.com/blog/2008/02/01/zombies-no-joke-global-warming-can-cause-anything/#comment-301</guid>
		<description>[...] Update: be sure to read the post: Zombies no joke, global warming can cause anything.  addthis_url = 'http%3A%2F%2Fwmbriggs.com%2Fblog%2F2008%2F01%2F31%2Fzombie-attacks-might-increase-due-to-global-warming-study-shows%2F'; addthis_title = 'Zombie+attacks+might+increase+due+to+global+warming%2C+study+shows'; addthis_pub = 'mattstat'; [...]</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>[&#8230;] Update: be sure to read the post: Zombies no joke, global warming can cause anything.  addthis_url = &#8216;http%3A%2F%2Fwmbriggs.com%2Fblog%2F2008%2F01%2F31%2Fzombie-attacks-might-increase-due-to-global-warming-study-shows%2F&#8217;; addthis_title = &#8216;Zombie+attacks+might+increase+due+to+global+warming%2C+study+shows&#8217;; addthis_pub = &#8216;mattstat&#8217;; [&#8230;]</p>
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		<title>By: Raven</title>
		<link>http://wmbriggs.com/blog/2008/02/01/zombies-no-joke-global-warming-can-cause-anything/#comment-292</link>
		<dc:creator>Raven</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 02 Feb 2008 09:05:48 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid>http://wmbriggs.com/blog/2008/02/01/zombies-no-joke-global-warming-can-cause-anything/#comment-292</guid>
		<description>An amusing comment from J. Scott Armstrong at the Wharton School in Pennsylvania (he wrote the book on it, Long-Range Forecasting, and also edited the standard textbook in the field, Principles of Forecasting)

"How good are climate scientists at predicting the future? On the whole, says Prof. Armstrong, they're probably no worse than any other group of experts ? which is to say, not very good at all. Abundant research shows that experts ? whether they're political scientists, stock market analysts, Super Bowl commentators or marine biologists ? are no better than non-experts at making accurate predictions. They're just more certain that they're right"

http://www.theglobeandmail.com/servlet/story/RTGAM.20080201.cowent02/BNStory/Front/home

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		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>An amusing comment from J. Scott Armstrong at the Wharton School in Pennsylvania (he wrote the book on it, Long-Range Forecasting, and also edited the standard textbook in the field, Principles of Forecasting)</p>
<p>&#8220;How good are climate scientists at predicting the future? On the whole, says Prof. Armstrong, they&#8217;re probably no worse than any other group of experts ? which is to say, not very good at all. Abundant research shows that experts ? whether they&#8217;re political scientists, stock market analysts, Super Bowl commentators or marine biologists ? are no better than non-experts at making accurate predictions. They&#8217;re just more certain that they&#8217;re right&#8221;</p>
<p><a href="http://www.theglobeandmail.com/servlet/story/RTGAM.20080201.cowent02/BNStory/Front/home" rel="nofollow">http://www.theglobeandmail.com/servlet/story/RTGAM.20080201.cowent02/BNStory/Front/home</a></p>
<p>.</p>
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		<title>By: jmrSudbury</title>
		<link>http://wmbriggs.com/blog/2008/02/01/zombies-no-joke-global-warming-can-cause-anything/#comment-283</link>
		<dc:creator>jmrSudbury</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 01 Feb 2008 16:54:31 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid>http://wmbriggs.com/blog/2008/02/01/zombies-no-joke-global-warming-can-cause-anything/#comment-283</guid>
		<description>Long live the zombies ... no wait... long dead the zombies ... err ... long undead the zombies?

What do you mean I missed you main points?

We don't, or at least shouldn't, put any weight behind a poll that does not publish its certainty, sample size, and sampling method let alone its assumptions like "given that AGW is true... ."  Instead too many believe the one sided AGW stories that the media present without question because it is from 'experts.'  

"...because it is impossible that climate change can only be bad"

This reminds me of reports in Canada about the ever changing dollar.  If it goes up, then the media report that manufacturers, tourism operators, and exporters will be hurt.  When it drops with respect to the US currency, then consumer confidence is lessened and our economy will take a hit.

John M Reynolds</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Long live the zombies &#8230; no wait&#8230; long dead the zombies &#8230; err &#8230; long undead the zombies?</p>
<p>What do you mean I missed you main points?</p>
<p>We don&#8217;t, or at least shouldn&#8217;t, put any weight behind a poll that does not publish its certainty, sample size, and sampling method let alone its assumptions like &#8220;given that AGW is true&#8230; .&#8221;  Instead too many believe the one sided AGW stories that the media present without question because it is from &#8216;experts.&#8217;  </p>
<p>&#8220;&#8230;because it is impossible that climate change can only be bad&#8221;</p>
<p>This reminds me of reports in Canada about the ever changing dollar.  If it goes up, then the media report that manufacturers, tourism operators, and exporters will be hurt.  When it drops with respect to the US currency, then consumer confidence is lessened and our economy will take a hit.</p>
<p>John M Reynolds</p>
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