How Good Is That Model? Scoring Rules For Forecasts: Part III
Read Part I, Part II Part III This brings us to the second reason for measuring model goodness. Or rather … Continue Reading How Good Is That Model? Scoring Rules For Forecasts: Part III
How Good Is That Model? Scoring Rules For Forecasts: Part II: Update
Read Part I Part II What we’re after is a score that calculates how close a prediction is to its … Continue Reading How Good Is That Model? Scoring Rules For Forecasts: Part II: Update
How Good Is That Model? Scoring Rules For Forecasts: Part I
Part I of III All probability (which is to say, statistical) models have a predictive sense; indeed, they are only … Continue Reading How Good Is That Model? Scoring Rules For Forecasts: Part I
Free Statistics Class: Predictive Case Study 1, Part II
Review! We began our first predictive analysis, and spent a lot of time with it. But we still haven’t got to the main question! And that is how it should be. Since the predictive method separates probability from decision and … Continue Reading Free Statistics Class: Predictive Case Study 1, Part II
