From a tweet from Taleb, who informs us the following question is part of the Indian Statistical Institute examination. (5) … Continue Reading What Is The Probability Of COVFEFE?
From the mailbag, reader I.W. writes: Dear Professor, I represent social science (but of a priori bent), and I recently … Continue Reading Predictive Probability Resources, Why Frequentism Fails & Uncertainty
Via Alexander Bogomolny?: At 1 minute to midnight 10 apples fall into a sack. The same happens at half a … Continue Reading How To Resolve All Probability Paradoxes: Apples In Sack Example
Philip Pilkington, author of the buyable The Reformation in Economics: A Deconstruction and Reconstruction of Economic Theory, asks a follow-up question to the material on the precautionary principle. If probability is not decision then, I hope you’ll grant, that decision … Continue Reading Possibility Versus Probability & Decision