This post originally appeared right before the Uncertainty did. Now that we’re 1.5 years out, it’s time for a re-post. … Continue Reading Uncertainty: The Soul of Models, Probability & Statistics. Chapter Abstracts
The plot atop this post is one of an observable, the cause of which is known to be related to … Continue Reading Trend Models & The Inability To Discover Cause
I saw colleague Deborah Mayo casting, or rather trying to cast, aspersions on Bayesian philosophy by saying there is “no … Continue Reading There Is No Prior? What’s A Bayesian To Do? Relax, There’s No Model, Either
I was having a back-and-forth with a colleague on modeling types (see this post for a modeling hierarchy) and falsifiability. … Continue Reading The Difference Between Essential And Empirical Models
