Dutch Book: Or, How to Gamble
A classic column, edited and updated. If you are a gambler, you’ll be delighted to learn that there is a way to create a system of wagers such that you ar...
Search Results for: "dutch book"
Classics
There is over ten years worth of material on the blog on wide-ranging subjects. First stop is the category drop-down menu, to the right on large screens and at ...
Probability’s Empirical Bias
Bit of logic (a favorite example) from our teacher Lewis Carroll: given “All cats understand French and that some chickens are cats”, what can we sa...
Paddy Power’s Pope Predictions—Update
Update See below for main update. The odds of Father Dougal Maguire (Craggy Island) being the next Pope are 1,000 to 1. You may say this is small, but it’...