William M. Briggs

Claims of control are almost always false or misleading. "Controlling for" sex or age or anything in probability models is not true control. It's just adding things to models. Vast…

ANNOUNCEMENT: I am starting a new degree in Feminist Logic & Epistemology. Its one and only course will consist in the student in all public (i.e. outside-the-home) discourse beginning each…

I want to quote from my late friend Steven Goldberg's (he went to his judgement in 2022) book When Wish Replaces Thought: Why So Much of What You Believe is…

Once again, for the statistically accurate umpteenth time, I saw some of our guys lamenting, cursing, hand-wringing, shouting and delivering various clever imprecations over yet another Hollywood abomination. This time…

Questions Parameters don't exist because distributions don't exist, and distributions don't exist because probability doesn't exist. You cannot have "estimates" of "true" values when there are no values.. Video https://youtu.be/9nh7ngONLoI…

From a report on a recent meeting of China's Xi Who Must Be Obeyed and Russia's Vladimir Putin: “People rarely lived to be over 70, but these days, at 70,…

A common scurrilous sophomoric ridiculous false charge leveled against those of a religious bent, and made by internet atheists, is that the religious hold their beliefs "Based on no evidence."…

Last time at Think Twice Science (video below for those who, embarrassingly, forgot to watch) we discussed bad models and the bad predictions which arise from them. Those bad models,…