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William M. Briggs

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Latest Articles
All Models Only Say What They Are Told To Say, And AI Is A Model
March 26, 2026
It’s The End Of The World Again
March 24, 2026
Belgian Judge Wants To Arrest Little Nate Cofnast Because Cofnast Says Smart People Are Smarter Than Dumb People
March 23, 2026
Class 83: Why Were Paul Ehrlich’s Predictions So Good (and so Bad)?
March 19, 2026
The Great Effeminization of the Academy
March 18, 2026
The Only Metric That Matters: Or, Pinker’s Folly
March 17, 2026
Lancet Discovers Public Health Is Politics
March 16, 2026
Class 82: Be More Uncertain (About Models)
March 12, 2026
On Not Reading
March 11, 2026
The Great Smoothing: Another Reason Not To Fear (or trust) AI
March 10, 2026
A Synchronicity Or Coincidence? What Is Behind Curious Events?
March 9, 2026
Class 81: The Second Biggest Error In Time Series
March 5, 2026
The Paper Test Shows Why AGI Is Not Possible: And Why The Brain Is Different In Kind
March 4, 2026
Researcher Imagines Weather With No Human Influence: Concludes Climate Change Hurts Incomes
March 3, 2026
Faith Deposited: Why Godless Science Fails
March 2, 2026
Class 80: Granger Causality; Per Se & Accidental Time Series; Stationarity
February 26, 2026
Scientists Seeking To Escape Criticism Run To The Warmth & Comfort Of Bluesky
February 24, 2026
The Loss of Ephemera — Guest Post by The Blonde Bombshell
February 23, 2026
Class 79: Time Series Example
February 19, 2026
The Importance Of Not Making Decisions
February 18, 2026
Don’t Take The ‘Long-Covid’ Alzheimer’s Study Seriously
February 17, 2026
Posted inStatistics

All Models Only Say What They Are Told To Say, And AI Is A Model

Posted by By Briggs March 26, 2026
Continue Reading
Posted inStatistics

It’s The End Of The World Again

Posted by By Briggs March 24, 2026
Continue Reading
All Models Only Say What They Are Told To Say, And AI Is A Model
Posted inStatistics

All Models Only Say What They Are Told To Say, And AI Is A Model

There is no Class this week, due to events. Here are the first 100 numbers in a series I constructed: 0.3987654 ,0.9560464 ,0.1675681 ,0.5562341 ,0.9843035 ,0.06160958 ,0.2305416 ,0.7073786 ,0.8254209 ,0.5746259…
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It’s The End Of The World Again
Posted inStatistics

It’s The End Of The World Again

It's only a matter of time. This world had a beginning, and all created things have beginnings and ends. Thus, this world will have an end. I want to stress…
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Belgian Judge Wants To Arrest Little Nate Cofnast Because Cofnast Says Smart People Are Smarter Than Dumb People
Posted inStatistics

Belgian Judge Wants To Arrest Little Nate Cofnast Because Cofnast Says Smart People Are Smarter Than Dumb People

Some waffle-stuffed Belgian judge has threatened to toss little Nate Cofnas into a Belgian hoosegow, presumably on the French side where they serve stale cheese, bad baguettes and English wine,…
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Class 83: Why Were Paul Ehrlich’s Predictions So Good (and so Bad)?
Posted inStatistics

Class 83: Why Were Paul Ehrlich’s Predictions So Good (and so Bad)?

Announcement: I wrote this Class for a general audience. Anybody can read it. And should if they are interested in Science. There's only a little notation, which can be ignored…
Read More
The Great Effeminization of the Academy
Posted inStatistics

The Great Effeminization of the Academy

An expected and obvious consequence of the Great Effeminization of the Academy is that a great deal of academic output is now about the feelings of academics. From the peer-reviewed…
Read More
The Only Metric That Matters: Or, Pinker’s Folly
Posted inStatistics

The Only Metric That Matters: Or, Pinker’s Folly

I can't recommend the debate---surely too strong a word; let's instead say the sit-down---between Ross Douthat, a New York Times employee, and Stephen Pinker, an academic, except for one thing.…
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Posted inStatistics

Lancet Discovers Public Health Is Politics

Here is a recent Lancet cover, which itself is an excellent argument doctors, which is to say body mechanics, ought not to be put in charge of public health. My…
Read More
Class 82: Be More Uncertain (About Models)
Posted inStatistics

Class 82: Be More Uncertain (About Models)

Reminder: The Thursday Class is only for those interested in studying uncertainty. I don’t expect all want to read these posts. So please don’t feel like you must. Yet, I…
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  1. JH on All Models Only Say What They Are Told To Say, And AI Is A ModelMarch 27, 2026

    When brilliant minds join forces with advanced computers that execute tasks with precision and speed by following instructions, they achieve…

  2. fergus on All Models Only Say What They Are Told To Say, And AI Is A ModelMarch 27, 2026

    Post script. Looks like you are hiding well, for now, from the AI in the sky. I asked it if…

  3. fergus on All Models Only Say What They Are Told To Say, And AI Is A ModelMarch 27, 2026

    Did not read the article, just copy/pasted the number list to ChatGPT and it got right back with: Yes —…

  4. John M on It’s The End Of The World AgainMarch 26, 2026

    Some of us dispensationalists don't adhere to any of the Hal Lindsey type of hype or trying bring in the…

  5. Uncle Mike on It’s The End Of The World AgainMarch 25, 2026

    C-Marie, for you to look up on this special day: "Chaire Kecharitomene"

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